Crosswinds & Crises: Navigating the Economic Crossroads of 2025

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As we move deeper into 2025, the global economy stands at a critical inflection point. While certain regions—like South Asia and the United States—have shown resilience, a growing number of warning signs are signaling turbulence ahead. New tariffs, inflationary pressures, and weakening labor market data are combining to cloud the outlook for the second half of the year.

2005 has re-ignited trade tensions, with President Trump announcing sweeping new tariffs. These actions are heightening fears of a global trade war and potential retaliatory measures from major partners such as the EU, Canada, China, Japan, and South Korea. These moves could trigger new inflationary waves and slow global growth.

Inflation in the U.S. remains elevated at 2.8%, constraining the Federal Reserve’s ability to lower interest rates meaningfully. Meanwhile, signs of a softening labor market—rising layoffs, increasing jobless claims, and slowing job creation—are increasing the risk of a recession.

Consumer and CEO confidence are both trending downward, with expectations about the future reaching multi-year lows. This erosion in sentiment is already impacting hiring plans and capital investments.

Join IPC on April 29 at 10:00 AM EST for Crosswinds & Crises: Navigating the Economic Crossroads of 2025, a free live session led by IPC Chief Economist Dr. Shawn DuBravac. This critical update will offer insights into the risks, opportunities, and evolving dynamics shaping the economic landscape.

What You Will Gain:

  • Global Economic Snapshot – A comprehensive analysis of economic performance and revised projections for 2025 and beyond.
  • Trade, Tariffs & Inflation – Understand how renewed trade tensions and persistent inflation are influencing monetary policy, prices, and investment decisions.
  • Labor Market & Sentiment Trends – Dive into new data on employment, consumer sentiment, and CEO outlooks—and what they mean for growth and recession risk.
  • Financial Markets and Sector Performance – Evaluate the drivers of recent market volatility and which industries are poised to lead (or lag) in a challenging environment.
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